Energy Outlook for Asia and the Pacific

BHOS Repository

Energy Outlook for Asia and the Pacific

Show full item record

Title: Energy Outlook for Asia and the Pacific
Abstract: T he Energy Outlook for Asia and the Pacific aims to support ADB energy sector operations by providing stakeholders with an energy outlook for the region up to the year 2035. It attempts to identify policy, social, infrastructure, and technology issues that must be addressed to meet future energy need of ADB members in Asia and the Pacific. The first edition of the Energy Outlook for Asia and the Pacific, which provided an energy supply and demand outlook for the region up to 2030, was published by ADB in 2009. Since then however, there have been various developments affecting the energy sectors of both developed and developing economies that justify this update, including (i) the lasting economic recession in major developed energy-consuming countries and its impact on other parts of the world, (ii) geopolitical and social unrest in the Middle East and Africa, (iii) repercussions of the Fukushima nuclear incident on nuclear energy development programs, (iv) aging energy infrastructure in Asia and the Pacific, and (v) expansion in renewable energy development and energy efficiency improvements within the region. In contrast to other energy outlooks that deal solely with whole regions, this report also focuses on the local characteristics of the ADB members in Asia and the Pacific, with the intention of providing critical and strategic insights into the energy sector of individual ADB members. This report presents two cases of energy demand and supply for the ADB member economies in Asia and the Pacific: (i) a business-as-usual case, which reflects the impact of existing policies and current technology levels on future energy demand and energy choice, as well as assumes that current trends in the development of new and renewable energy sources will continue into the future; and (ii) an alternative case that considers the potential for energy savings on both the demand and the supply sides from the deployment of advanced and low-carbon technologies to increase energy security in the region. The study also presents the results of analyses made to estimate carbon dioxide emissions and investments required on the supply and demand sides for both the business-as-usual and the alternative cases. Also identified and discussed are major issues that are likely to affect the energy demand and supply in Asia and the Pacific, including electricity trade among members of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), shale gas development in North America, electrification, fuel subsidies, subregional cooperation on oil and natural gas supply, biofuels in Asia, energy efficiency, low-carbon city development, modal shifts in transportation, renewable energy development, and carbon capture and storage. This report is not meant to predict the future trajectory of the energy sector in Asia and the Pacific. Rather, it is meant solely to provide scenarios of what could happen should the ADB economies take particular courses of action, as defined by the scenario assumptions. Not all issues relevant to the energy sector in Asia and the Pacific have been addressed in this study. The energy outlook projected in this volume does not necessarily reflect the views of the governments of the ADB members.
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/123456789/1050
Date: 2013


Files in this item

Files Size Format View
energy-outlook.pdf 2.442Mb PDF View/Open

This item appears in the following Collection(s)

Show full item record

Search BHOS Repository


Advanced Search

Browse

My Account